Let me put a disclaimer right away that I am not a geo political expert but I have developed keen interest for the same and have been following geo political events for quite some time. I have had interest in politics since a long time but that was confined only to India and limited to what newspapers and TV news channels showed. In other words just like any other individual I was also victim of propaganda run my Main Stream Media.
But It was somewhere around 2016 that I heard about Dr. Gaurav Pradhan and started reading his tweets, articles, blogs and watched his videos. His very motto to encourage everyone for critical thinking and ask simple questions like Why ? When ? Where ? How ? for every event at local and global level helped change my perspective and entire thought process. As result, I took a step back , did introspection and realized what blunders I have been doing for years. Soon , I stopped watching news ( MSM) , Bollywood , cricket and started doing my own research just by asking simple questions.
Gaurav sir has always mentioned that all geo political events are driven by 3 major factors – Oil , Pharma & Arms. If we pick up any event happening at global level and if you dig deep by asking the basic questions ( Why ? When ? Where ? How ) , at the root these 3 factors will definitely come into picture- directly or indirectly.
I would like to bring to your notice some of these events which have happened in past several months and I have been asking myself WHY?
- If you have been following Modi’s speech off late, he has been mentioning that global order will change in post COVID world. Why?
- Due to ongoing “ Military Operation” by Russia in Ukraine, India remained neutral during UNSC voting which is kind of supporting Russia. Why ?
- Despite global sanctions against Russia , India continues to buy more oil from Russia . Why ?
- On 6th Dec 2021 – Vladimir Putin took 10 hours flight to meet Modi for 6 hours in Dec 2021. Why?
- India has been promoting its own Rupay card breaking hegemony of VISA & Mastercard and has been promoting UPI based payment system aggressively for past several years. Why ?
There has been flurry of visits of foreign dignitaries to India in past 2 weeks and more to come in coming weeks :
- 19th March 2021- Japan Prime Minister Fumio Kishida visits India and declares investment of $42 billion.
- 20th March 2021- Austrian Foreign Minister Alexander Schallenberg
- 21st March – Australian PM Scott Morrison ( Virtual )
- 22nd March – US Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland
- 23rd March – Greece FM Nikolas Dendias
- 24th March – Oman FM Sayyid Badr bin Hamad bin Hamoud Al Bausaidi
- 25th March – China FM Wang Yi
- 28th March – EU Special Envoy for Indo-Pacific Gabriele Visentin
- 30th March – Mexico FM Macelo Ebrard and German Foreign & Security Policy Advisor Jens Plotner
- 31st March – UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and US Deputy NSA Daleep Singh
- 1st April – Russian FM Sergey Lavrov
- 2nd April – Nepal PM Sher Bahadur Deuba
Something unique which I noticed was that – Chinese minister comes on unplanned visit but Modi refuses to meet him . Whereas when Russian Finance Minister comes to India , Modi not only meets him but gives joint statement . Why ?
Australia, Japan , US have been imposing sanctions against Russia but India being part of QUAD , there were no negative statement against Russia. Why ?
There was a so called misfire of Indian missile which fell in Pakistan and no one made any objection to it. Why ?
Nepal declares to use Indian UPI payment system in their country. Why ?
Russia will be giving crude to India at discount of $35 /barrel at pre Ukraine conflict level . Why ?
Russia will take payments from India in Rupees but from other countries either in Rubles or Gold. Why ?
Saudi Arabia , which has been partner of USA for decades not even received call of Joe Biden. Why ?
All these events are no mere coincidences. If you try to seek answers again 3 major drivers come into picture – Oil , Arms and Pharma.
Oil : Russia wants to control $30 trillion worth of Oil & Gas in Arctic region. After capture of Crimea , Ukraine invasion ( military operation ) will help Russia to become monopoly in this area. Russia is part of OPEC. Europe receive 60-70% of their gas from Russia. Middle east is one of biggest supplier of crude to world. The trade was happening in dollars. Now due to sanctions on SWIFT , Russians banks are cut off from world and thus payments cannot be done in dollars. The intent was to collapse Russian economy, but this has backfired since Europe and rest of the world cannot stop buying gas & oil from Russia and OPEC, but now they have to make payments in Ruble. This very step will stop monopoly and global advantage of dollars. This may be beginning of fall of West. Take any oil producing nation- Iraq, Iran, Libya, Yemen, Nigeria etc. All were invaded with false excuses like Weapons of Mass destruction or to establish democracy. Everything is a lie, at the core is cheap oil. Add to it continuous civil war helps Arms lobby thrive their business.
Arms : After Afghanistan , Ukraine crisis exposed the danger of being an ally of America. Two unstable countries being ditched by US not only brought the country to doldrums but enabled arms lobby of US to make business out of it. Other countries have realized they can no more trust US as an ally, thus NATO has been exposed and proved to be a dud organization. Germany , Japan, Taiwan has already announced increase in their defense budget and soon other countries will follow suit. Again the winner is Arms lobby. So , the more world is unstable , more the arms lobby make profits. Arms lobby need war to sell weapons. So this lobby will make sure that world remains at boil all the time and anyone which comes as a roadblock will be removed by hook or crook.
Pharma : COVID provided unlimited advantage to select few pharma companies to make tremendous profits, destroyed economies, blackmailed countries like Brazil to surrender their strategic assets to these companies. Discovery of bio labs in Ukraine is another example how big pharma companies try to exploit and rule the world.
At the crux of all these , there is something unprecedented happening. Sun has finally started to set on West. If I deduce from all the pointers, these countries are on decline as far as being super power and control they had on the world in geo-politics. There is tilt of power axis and India is playing a pivotal role in it. Every country is now queuing up to convince or take feedback of India or want India on their side. I may be jumping to conclusion but don’t you think this a sign of India emerging as global super power ?
Last but not the least- I don’t have any proof but my gut says Modi was well aware in advance about upcoming Ukraine war and it was consulted with Modi. Let me make one more prediction – All the sanctions which are declared against Russia will be soon rolled back under some pretext or other. Anyways these sanctions were only to show off people since all the countries which imposed sanctions still continue to buy oil, uranium , fertilizers etc. from Russia .